Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $20,440$ on 2020-10-11
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $324$ on 2020-10-11
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,818$ on 2020-10-11
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $98,451$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{90,333.2}{1 + 10^{-0.016 (t - 99.1)}}\) (asimptote \(90,333.2\))
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5,894$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,778.7}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 52.1)}}\) (asimptote \(5,778.7\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $92,557$ on 2020-10-11
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $15,524$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{13,276.6}{1 + 10^{-0.008 (t - 74.1)}}\) (asimptote \(13,276.6\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $275$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{254.9}{1 + 10^{-0.045 (t - 31.9)}}\) (asimptote \(254.9\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,386$ on 2020-10-11
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $11,998$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,289.8}{1 + 10^{-0.021 (t - 57.6)}}\) (asimptote \(8,289.8\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $346$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{332.1}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 36.5)}}\) (asimptote \(332.1\))
Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,152$ on 2020-10-11
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $32,915$ on 2020-10-11
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $669$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{617.4}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 35.3)}}\) (asimptote \(617.4\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $5,391$ on 2020-10-11
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $3,526$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,022.8}{1 + 10^{-0.054 (t - 31.9)}}\) (asimptote \(2,022.8\))
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.0}{1 + 10^{-0.073 (t - 22.3)}}\) (asimptote \(10.0\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,017$ on 2020-10-11
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $162,258$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{531,477.1}{1 + 10^{-0.004 (t - 350.6)}}\) (asimptote \(531,477.1\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10,191$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,790.9}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 39.1)}}\) (asimptote \(9,790.9\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $131,795$ on 2020-10-11
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $606,447$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{426,655.1}{1 + 10^{-0.010 (t - 90.8)}}\) (asimptote \(426,655.1\))
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $42,915$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{41,097.5}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 45.9)}}\) (asimptote \(41,097.5\))
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $561,029$ on 2020-10-11
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $354,950$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{263,547.9}{1 + 10^{-0.026 (t - 49.0)}}\) (asimptote \(263,547.9\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $36,166$ on 2020-10-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{35,003.3}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 47.1)}}\) (asimptote \(35,003.3\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $79,075$ on 2020-10-11
